Summary

International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and Its Applications

2022

Session Number:A2L-C

Session:

Number:A2L-C-03

Complexity Based Approach for El Ni?o Magnitude Forecasting Before the “Spring Predictability Barrier”

Jun Meng ,   Jingfang Fan ,   Josef Ludescher ,   Agarwal Ankit ,   Xiaosong Chen ,   Armin Bunde ,   J?rgen Kurths ,   Hans Joachim Schellnhuber,  

pp.19-19

Publication Date:12/12/2022

Online ISSN:2188-5079

DOI:10.34385/proc.71.A2L-C-03

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Summary:
We introduce a new method -- system sample entropy-- for calculating the complexity of a complex system composed of several time series. We use this method to quantify the system complexity of the Nino 3.4 region and forecast the El nino magnitude one year ahead.