| Presentation | 2014-06-19 Studies on reward mechanisms for self-fulfilling declaration Masaaki OKA, Taiki TODO, Yuko SAKURAI, Makoto YOKOO, |
|---|---|
| PDF Download Page |  PDF download Page Link |
| Abstract(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Abstract(in English) | We investigate a mechanism for giving a right incentive to each agent to predict her own future actions and to declare her predictions truthfully. Obtaining an accurate prediction of customer actions is valuable for certain providers who are required to meet customer demands. If an agent predicts an external event that she cannot control herself, any proper scoring rule can give a right incentive. In our problem setting, an agent needs to predict her own action that she can control to maximize her utility. Also, her (gross) utility can vary based on an eternal event. While proper scoring rules have been proposed for eliciting truthful subjective beliefs/prediction of agents in a prediction market, this work presents a new and interesting application for proper scoring rule. We prove that a mechanism that utilizes any strictly proper scoring rule is only a mechanism that can satisfy our goal, assuming an agent can find an optimal declaration that maximizes her expected utility. |
| Keyword(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Keyword(in English) | Multi-agent system / mechanism design / prediction / scoring rule |
| Paper # | AI2014-8 |
| Date of Issue |
| Conference Information | |
| Committee | AI |
|---|---|
| Conference Date | 2014/6/12(1days) |
| Place (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Place (in English) | |
| Topics (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Topics (in English) | |
| Chair | |
| Vice Chair | |
| Secretary | |
| Assistant | |
| Paper Information | |
| Registration To | Artificial Intelligence and Knowledge-Based Processing (AI) |
|---|---|
| Language | JPN |
| Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Sub Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Title (in English) | Studies on reward mechanisms for self-fulfilling declaration |
| Sub Title (in English) | |
| Keyword(1) | Multi-agent system |
| Keyword(2) | mechanism design |
| Keyword(3) | prediction |
| Keyword(4) | scoring rule |
| 1st Author's Name | Masaaki OKA |
| 1st Author's Affiliation | Kyushu University() |
| 2nd Author's Name | Taiki TODO |
| 2nd Author's Affiliation | Kyushu University |
| 3rd Author's Name | Yuko SAKURAI |
| 3rd Author's Affiliation | Kyushu University |
| 4th Author's Name | Makoto YOKOO |
| 4th Author's Affiliation | Kyushu University |
| Date | 2014-06-19 |
| Paper # | AI2014-8 |
| Volume (vol) | vol.114 |
| Number (no) | 89 |
| Page | pp.pp.- |
| #Pages | 6 |
| Date of Issue | |