| Presentation | 2013-01-25 A Probabilistic Method for Determining the Expected Depaparture Clearance Time based on Estimated Time of Arrival at an En-route Fix (Part 2) : Effects of Asymmetry and Biases of Uncertainty Distribution on the Arrival Sequence Sakae NAGAOKA, Claus GWIGGNER, Yutaka FUKUDA, |
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| PDF Download Page |  PDF download Page Link |
| Abstract(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Abstract(in English) | In air traffic management, traffic flow is controlled to minimize delays and holdings in air routes and airports keeping the safe separation between aircraft. In this process, an estimated amval time at a fix is generated on the basis of the estimate of the departure time at a departing airport. The authors proposed, in the previous paper, a concept for swapping the sequence of arrivals at the concerned fix taking the distribution of estimation errors into account. For simplicity, among several potential error distnbution models, only the case of exponential distributions was dealt with m the paper. This paper considers the effects of biases and asymmetry in error distribution models using examples of distribution models, which consists of exponential and Normal distribution. Then, further works required for future development of the proposed system are mentioned |
| Keyword(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Keyword(in English) | Air traffic management / Flow control / Delay / Swapping |
| Paper # | SANE2012-143 |
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| Conference Information | |
| Committee | SANE |
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| Conference Date | 2013/1/17(1days) |
| Place (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Place (in English) | |
| Topics (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
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| Paper Information | |
| Registration To | Space, Aeronautical and Navigational Electronics (SANE) |
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| Language | JPN |
| Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Sub Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Title (in English) | A Probabilistic Method for Determining the Expected Depaparture Clearance Time based on Estimated Time of Arrival at an En-route Fix (Part 2) : Effects of Asymmetry and Biases of Uncertainty Distribution on the Arrival Sequence |
| Sub Title (in English) | |
| Keyword(1) | Air traffic management |
| Keyword(2) | Flow control |
| Keyword(3) | Delay |
| Keyword(4) | Swapping |
| 1st Author's Name | Sakae NAGAOKA |
| 1st Author's Affiliation | Electronic Navigation Research Institute() |
| 2nd Author's Name | Claus GWIGGNER |
| 2nd Author's Affiliation | Institute of Operations Research, University of Hamburg |
| 3rd Author's Name | Yutaka FUKUDA |
| 3rd Author's Affiliation | Electronic Navigation Research Institute |
| Date | 2013-01-25 |
| Paper # | SANE2012-143 |
| Volume (vol) | vol.112 |
| Number (no) | 391 |
| Page | pp.pp.- |
| #Pages | 6 |
| Date of Issue | |