Presentation 2012-11-16
Traffic Prediction for Dynamic Traffic Engineering Considering Traffic Variation
Tatsuya OTOSHI, Yuichi OHSITA, Masayuki MURATA, Yousuke TAKAHASHI, Keisuke ISHIBASHI, Kohei SHIOMOTO,
PDF Download Page PDF download Page Link
Abstract(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Abstract(in English) Traffic engineering with traffic prediction is one approach to accommodate time-varying traffic adaptively. In this approach, the routes are calculated so as to avoid congestion based on the predicted traffic. The accuracy of the traffic prediction however has large impacts on this approach. In this paper, we investigate the traffic prediction methods suitable to traffic engineering, focusing on their underestimation that may cause the congestion. We evaluate the traffic prediction methods by using the actual traffic traces, and clarify that the SARIMA with the principal component analysis achieves the small underestimation without a large overestimation.
Keyword(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Keyword(in English) Traffic Prediction / Traffic Engineering / Data Mining / Principle Component Analysis / Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model
Paper # NS2012-115
Date of Issue

Conference Information
Committee NS
Conference Date 2012/11/8(1days)
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Place (in English)
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Topics (in English)
Chair
Vice Chair
Secretary
Assistant

Paper Information
Registration To Network Systems(NS)
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Traffic Prediction for Dynamic Traffic Engineering Considering Traffic Variation
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Traffic Prediction
Keyword(2) Traffic Engineering
Keyword(3) Data Mining
Keyword(4) Principle Component Analysis
Keyword(5) Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model
1st Author's Name Tatsuya OTOSHI
1st Author's Affiliation Grate School of Information Science and Technology, Osaka University()
2nd Author's Name Yuichi OHSITA
2nd Author's Affiliation Grate School of Information Science and Technology, Osaka University
3rd Author's Name Masayuki MURATA
3rd Author's Affiliation Grate School of Information Science and Technology, Osaka University
4th Author's Name Yousuke TAKAHASHI
4th Author's Affiliation NTT Network Technology Laboratories, NTT Corporation
5th Author's Name Keisuke ISHIBASHI
5th Author's Affiliation NTT Network Technology Laboratories, NTT Corporation
6th Author's Name Kohei SHIOMOTO
6th Author's Affiliation NTT Network Technology Laboratories, NTT Corporation
Date 2012-11-16
Paper # NS2012-115
Volume (vol) vol.112
Number (no) 287
Page pp.pp.-
#Pages 6
Date of Issue