Presentation 2009-08-04
A detection method to a dynamical system change in time series prediction using an ART
Daisuke HANASHIRO, Hidehiro NAKANO, Arata MIYAUCHI,
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Abstract(in English) Time series prediction is based on estimating a system which generates time series and constructing a system model which approximates the system. However, if the system is changed by external factors, it is needed to detect the change correctly and to reconstruct the system model. In this paper, we propose a detection method to a dynamic system change using an ART. For noisy time series, the proposed method can detect the dynamic system change with high accuracy. Through numerical experiments, effectiveness of the proposed method is confirmed.
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Keyword(in English) Time Series Prediction / Adaptive Resonance Theory / Time-Variant System
Paper # NLP2009-54
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Conference Information
Committee NLP
Conference Date 2009/7/27(1days)
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Paper Information
Registration To Nonlinear Problems (NLP)
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) A detection method to a dynamical system change in time series prediction using an ART
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Time Series Prediction
Keyword(2) Adaptive Resonance Theory
Keyword(3) Time-Variant System
1st Author's Name Daisuke HANASHIRO
1st Author's Affiliation Tokyo City University()
2nd Author's Name Hidehiro NAKANO
2nd Author's Affiliation Tokyo City University
3rd Author's Name Arata MIYAUCHI
3rd Author's Affiliation Tokyo City University
Date 2009-08-04
Paper # NLP2009-54
Volume (vol) vol.109
Number (no) 167
Page pp.pp.-
#Pages 5
Date of Issue