Presentation 2009-03-03
An Analysis of Monthly Financial Trends by a New Text Mining Method
Kiyoshi IZUMI, Takashi GOTO, Tohgoroh MATSUI,
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Abstract(in English) In this study, we proposed a new text-mining methods for long-term market analysis. Using our method, we analysed monthly price data of several financial markets. First we extracted feature vectors from monthly reports of Bank of Japan. Then, trends of the each market were estimated by regression analysis using the feature vectors. As a result, determination coefficients were over 75%, and market trends were explained well by the information that was extracted from textual data. As a result, Our text mining method had prediction power superior to the numerical data analysis.
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Keyword(in English) Text mining / Financial market / Out-of-sample forecast / Regression analysis
Paper # AI2008-77
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Committee AI
Conference Date 2009/2/23(1days)
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Registration To Artificial Intelligence and Knowledge-Based Processing (AI)
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) An Analysis of Monthly Financial Trends by a New Text Mining Method
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Text mining
Keyword(2) Financial market
Keyword(3) Out-of-sample forecast
Keyword(4) Regression analysis
1st Author's Name Kiyoshi IZUMI
1st Author's Affiliation DHRC, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology()
2nd Author's Name Takashi GOTO
2nd Author's Affiliation The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd.
3rd Author's Name Tohgoroh MATSUI
3rd Author's Affiliation Faculty of Science and Technology, Tokyo University of Science
Date 2009-03-03
Paper # AI2008-77
Volume (vol) vol.108
Number (no) 456
Page pp.pp.-
#Pages 6
Date of Issue