Presentation 2005/10/10
Prediction of the aperiodic time series of a visual target by humans
Manabu SHIKAUCHI, Shin ISHII, Tomohiro SHIBATA,
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Abstract(in English) It is advantageous for animals and humans to predict changes in the environment. For example, preying is difficult without the capability of predicting the motion of its prey. To uncover mechanisms for such a prediction is one of the most important topics in brain science. Shibata et al. have been investigating the predictive ability of humans utilizing smooth pursuit eye movement which is specific to primates. They conducted a task where each subject was asked to pursue aperiodic target motions generated by an Auto-Regressive (AR) process. Their results suggested that subjects were capable of (1) online learning of a hidden linear dynamics (AR model) in the AR process, and (2) performing predictive tracking similar to the optimal filtering to some extent. This study aims at investigating whether such a predictive ability of humans as reported by Shibata et al. works for visual perception as well. In our experiments, aperiodic time series generated by an AR process were sequentially presented by means of a small spot at a regular time intervals, and subjects were asked to predict the next spot position. Results suggest both learning and prediction were not clearly observed, while it was observed that the subjects tried to predict the next spot position based on a lower order AR model, and some performance-improvement was also observed through long-term trials.
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Keyword(in English) Aperiodic time series / Auto-Regressive process / Online learning / Prediction / Perception
Paper # NC2005-38
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Committee NC
Conference Date 2005/10/10(1days)
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Registration To Neurocomputing (NC)
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Prediction of the aperiodic time series of a visual target by humans
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Aperiodic time series
Keyword(2) Auto-Regressive process
Keyword(3) Online learning
Keyword(4) Prediction
Keyword(5) Perception
1st Author's Name Manabu SHIKAUCHI
1st Author's Affiliation Graduate School of Information Science, Nara Institute of Science and Technology()
2nd Author's Name Shin ISHII
2nd Author's Affiliation Graduate School of Information Science, Nara Institute of Science and Technology
3rd Author's Name Tomohiro SHIBATA
3rd Author's Affiliation Graduate School of Information Science, Nara Institute of Science and Technology:ATR Computational Neuroscience Laboratories
Date 2005/10/10
Paper # NC2005-38
Volume (vol) vol.105
Number (no) 341
Page pp.pp.-
#Pages 6
Date of Issue