Presentation	2003/3/19 Estimating Parameters of Collision Risk Model Using the Monte Carlo Method Sakae Nagaoka,
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Abstract(in English)	Recently, standards on the minimum separation between aircraft in oceanic air routes have been determined from the viewpoint of safety. Collision risk models have been used for assessing the safety of these routes. However, to estimate the parameters of the models is not always easy. Among model parameters of a longitudinal collision risk model, the longitudinal overlap probability and average relative longitudinal speed are often difficult ones for estimating analytically. As an alternative method, the Monte Cairo method was used for estimating these parameters under an oceanic control environment of the North Pacific. This paper briefly describes the method and results of the simulation.
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Keyword(in English)	Safety assessment / Collision risk / Monte Carlo method / Separation standards / Air traffic control
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Conference Information
Committee	SSS
Conference Date	2003/3/19(1days)
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Paper Information
Registration To	Safety (SSS)
Language	JPN
Title (in Japanese)	(See Japanese page)
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Title (in English)	Estimating Parameters of Collision Risk Model Using the Monte Carlo Method
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1)	Safety assessment
Keyword(2)	Collision risk
Keyword(3)	Monte Carlo method
Keyword(4)	Separation standards
Keyword(5)	Air traffic control
1st Author's Name	Sakae Nagaoka
1st Author's Affiliation	Electronic Navigation Research Institute()
Date	2003/3/19
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Volume (vol)	vol.102
Number (no)	740
Page	pp.pp.-
#Pages	4
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