Presentation 2003/7/11
A Proposal for the Scenario Simulation and the Estimation Method of Consumer Behavioral Model
Shoko TAKAHASHI, Akiya INOUE, Hiromichi KAWANO, Ken NISHIMATSU,
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Abstract(in English) The first objective of the research is to assert the effectiveness of the "scenario simulation" technique in case of deciding product strategies. The technique is a collection of procedures that supposes the change of a market structure and estimates the consumers' product choice behaviors individually under the supposed scenarios. The basic model, which is used to describe consumers' behaviors, can be estimated from the conjoint experimental data such as individual responses to hypothetical situations. Since the problem rises of incongruity between the behaviors under real and hypothetical situations, the second objective of the research is to propose the method of overcoming the problem by introducing a random variable that represents the time lag between intention and behavior.
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Keyword(in English) Scenario Simulation / Discrete Choice Theory / Conjoint Experimental Data / Behavioral Lag
Paper # DE2003-100
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Committee DE
Conference Date 2003/7/11(1days)
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Registration To Data Engineering (DE)
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) A Proposal for the Scenario Simulation and the Estimation Method of Consumer Behavioral Model
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Scenario Simulation
Keyword(2) Discrete Choice Theory
Keyword(3) Conjoint Experimental Data
Keyword(4) Behavioral Lag
1st Author's Name Shoko TAKAHASHI
1st Author's Affiliation NTT Service Integration Laboratories()
2nd Author's Name Akiya INOUE
2nd Author's Affiliation NTT Service Integration Laboratories
3rd Author's Name Hiromichi KAWANO
3rd Author's Affiliation NTT Service Integration Laboratories
4th Author's Name Ken NISHIMATSU
4th Author's Affiliation NTT Service Integration Laboratories
Date 2003/7/11
Paper # DE2003-100
Volume (vol) vol.103
Number (no) 192
Page pp.pp.-
#Pages 6
Date of Issue