| Presentation | 2017-08-28 Time series analysis of failure rates of equipments for telecommunication networks. Hiroyuki Funakoshi, |
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| PDF Download Page |  PDF download Page Link |
| Abstract(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Abstract(in English) | The author has been predicted the failure rate of telecommunication network equipments by the state space model with Bayesian inference. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method has been used as a estimationalgorithm of Bayesian inference. However, the MCMC method is complicated to handle and it is difficult to apply it to routine tasks of the operating and maintenance business of telecommunication networks. In this article, the author predict the state space model of failure rate by Bayesian inference with Kalman filter. Moreover, the example of analysis using actual outage data is also shown. |
| Keyword(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Keyword(in English) | failure rate / time series analysis / state space model / Kalman filter |
| Paper # | CQ2017-50 |
| Date of Issue | 2017-08-21 (CQ) |
| Conference Information | |
| Committee | CQ |
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| Conference Date | 2017/8/28(2days) |
| Place (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Place (in English) | Tokyo University of Science |
| Topics (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Topics (in English) | QoS and QoE in Wireless Communication, Wireless Resource Allocation, Cross-Layer Techniques, Quality of Wireless Services, Wireless Transmission Quality, M2M/IoT/Wireless Sensor Network, Wireless LAN, Adhoc Network, Cloud Wireless Access Network, etc. |
| Chair | Takanori Hayashi(Hiroshima Inst. of Tech.) |
| Vice Chair | Hideyuki Shimonishi(NEC) / Jun Okamoto(NTT) |
| Secretary | Hideyuki Shimonishi(NTT) / Jun Okamoto(Keio Univ.) |
| Assistant | Kenko Ota(Nippon Inst. of Tech.) / Norihiro Fukumoto(KDDI R&D Labs.) / Ryo Yamamoto(UEC) |
| Paper Information | |
| Registration To | Technical Committee on Communication Quality |
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| Language | JPN |
| Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Sub Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Title (in English) | Time series analysis of failure rates of equipments for telecommunication networks. |
| Sub Title (in English) | State space model using Kalman filter |
| Keyword(1) | failure rate |
| Keyword(2) | time series analysis |
| Keyword(3) | state space model |
| Keyword(4) | Kalman filter |
| 1st Author's Name | Hiroyuki Funakoshi |
| 1st Author's Affiliation | Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation(NTT) |
| Date | 2017-08-28 |
| Paper # | CQ2017-50 |
| Volume (vol) | vol.117 |
| Number (no) | CQ-185 |
| Page | pp.pp.1-6(CQ), |
| #Pages | 6 |
| Date of Issue | 2017-08-21 (CQ) |