Presentation 2016-03-10
Bayesian Estimation of the Virus Source of an Infection in a Network Using Any Prior Distribution
Ryousuke Kido, Tetsunao Matsuta, Ryutaroh Matsumoto, Tomohiko Uyematsu,
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Abstract(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Abstract(in English) We model a phenomenon that a computer virus is spreading in a network as infection of the virus in a graph constructed of nodes and edges. We consider estimating the source of infection from the nodes infected by the virus. In previous studies, it was assumed that the prior distribution of the source is uniform. For regular trees, the optimal estimation method was shown in order to estimate the source of the infection from the nodes. In this paper, we consider the case that the prior distribution is not necessarily uniform. For regular trees, we clarify the correct detection probability for some cases with the optimal estimation method. Moreover, we compare the obtained correct detection probability with that of a previous result by numerical computation, and show the improve of the correct detection probability.
Keyword(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Keyword(in English) Bayesian estimation / graph theory / infection / MAP estimator
Paper # IT2015-104,ISEC2015-63,WBS2015-87
Date of Issue 2016-03-03 (IT, ISEC, WBS)

Conference Information
Committee IT / ISEC / WBS
Conference Date 2016/3/10(2days)
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Place (in English) The University of Electro-Communications
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Topics (in English) joint meeting of IT, ISEC, and WBS
Chair Yasutada Oohama(Univ. of Electro-Comm.) / Yukiyasu Tsunoo(NEC) / Hiromasa Habuchi(Ibaraki Univ.)
Vice Chair Tadashi Wadayama(Nagoya Inst. of Tech.) / Masahiro Mambo(Kanazawa Univ.) / Kazuto Ogawa(NHK) / Fumiaki Maehara(Waseda Univ.) / Minoru Okada(NAIST)
Secretary Tadashi Wadayama(Univ. of Electro-Comm.) / Masahiro Mambo(Wakayama Univ.) / Kazuto Ogawa(AIST) / Fumiaki Maehara(Toshiba) / Minoru Okada(Univ. of Kitakyushu)
Assistant Takuya Kusaka(Okayama Univ.) / Tetsuya Izu(Fujitsu Lab.) / Takaaki Mizuki(Tohoku Univ.) / Noritaka Yamashita(NEC) / Yusuke Kozawa(Tokyo Univ. of Science) / Akira Nakamura(Tokyo Univ. of Science) / Ryohei Nakamura(National Defense Academy)

Paper Information
Registration To Technical Committee on Information Theory / Technical Committee on Information Security / Technical Committee on Wideband System
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Bayesian Estimation of the Virus Source of an Infection in a Network Using Any Prior Distribution
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Bayesian estimation
Keyword(2) graph theory
Keyword(3) infection
Keyword(4) MAP estimator
1st Author's Name Ryousuke Kido
1st Author's Affiliation Tokyo Institute of Technology(Tokyo Tech.)
2nd Author's Name Tetsunao Matsuta
2nd Author's Affiliation Tokyo Institute of Technology(Tokyo Tech.)
3rd Author's Name Ryutaroh Matsumoto
3rd Author's Affiliation Tokyo Institute of Technology(Tokyo Tech.)
4th Author's Name Tomohiko Uyematsu
4th Author's Affiliation Tokyo Institute of Technology(Tokyo Tech.)
Date 2016-03-10
Paper # IT2015-104,ISEC2015-63,WBS2015-87
Volume (vol) vol.115
Number (no) IT-500,ISEC-501,WBS-502
Page pp.pp.19-24(IT), pp.19-24(ISEC), pp.19-24(WBS),
#Pages 6
Date of Issue 2016-03-03 (IT, ISEC, WBS)