Presentation 2015-06-18
Decision Making Strategy Based on Time Series Data of Voting Behavior: Preliminary Report
Shogo Higuchi, Ryohei Orihara, Yuichi Sei, Yasuyuki Tahara, Akihiko Ohsuga,
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Abstract(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Abstract(in English) In gambling such as horse racing, we are sometimes able to peep specific voting behavior by a punter with the advantageous information closely related to the results. The punter is often referred as an insider. In this study, our goal is to propose a reasonable investment strategy by peeping insiders' decision-making based on the time series odds data in horse racing run by JRA. We have found the conditions that rate of return is more than 300% for races whose winner's prize money is 20 million yens or more. That suggests the possibility of knowledge peeping.
Keyword(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Keyword(in English) Horse racing prediction / Time series data / Optimization / Decision tree / Knowledge peeping
Paper # AI2015-2
Date of Issue 2015-06-11 (AI)

Conference Information
Committee AI
Conference Date 2015/6/18(1days)
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Place (in English)
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Topics (in English)
Chair Toshiharu Sugawara(Waseda Univ.)
Vice Chair Tsunenori Mine(Kyushu Univ.) / Daisuke Katagami(Tokyo Polytechnic Univ.)
Secretary Tsunenori Mine(Kyoto Univ.) / Daisuke Katagami(Shizuoka Univ.)
Assistant Yuichi Sei(Univ. of Electro-Comm.)

Paper Information
Registration To Technical Committee on Artificial Intelligence and Knowledge-Based Processing
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Decision Making Strategy Based on Time Series Data of Voting Behavior: Preliminary Report
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Horse racing prediction
Keyword(2) Time series data
Keyword(3) Optimization
Keyword(4) Decision tree
Keyword(5) Knowledge peeping
1st Author's Name Shogo Higuchi
1st Author's Affiliation University of Electro-Communications(UEC)
2nd Author's Name Ryohei Orihara
2nd Author's Affiliation University of Electro-Communications(UEC)
3rd Author's Name Yuichi Sei
3rd Author's Affiliation University of Electro-Communications(UEC)
4th Author's Name Yasuyuki Tahara
4th Author's Affiliation University of Electro-Communications(UEC)
5th Author's Name Akihiko Ohsuga
5th Author's Affiliation University of Electro-Communications(UEC)
Date 2015-06-18
Paper # AI2015-2
Volume (vol) vol.115
Number (no) AI-97
Page pp.pp.7-11(AI),
#Pages 5
Date of Issue 2015-06-11 (AI)