Presentation 2022-11-17
Study of duration of school closure using the COVID-19 infection simulation by MAS
Ken Nakajima, Ikumi Anda, Nao Ito,
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Abstract(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Abstract(in English) COVID-19 is still raging in Japan, and the number of new cases per day exceeded 260,000 in August 2022. COVID-19 has had variant strains such as the Alpha, the Beta and the Omicron variants, and each variant shows differences in disease status and infectivity. By using Multi-Agent-Simulation (MAS) which can model social phenomena through the interaction of multiple agents, we have developed an SEIARD infection simulation model which takes into account the agents’ daily behavior. The proposed model can manipulate parameters such as incubation period, lethality rate and infection probability, and can simulate the infection situation in a city on each variant strain. The purpose of this study is to discuss strategies of school closure under the case of epidemic of the Omicron variant which has a high susceptibility for children, by using our proposed model. The results showed that COVID-19 infection could be better controlled if school closure was introduced at a time when the number of infected patients was small.
Keyword(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Keyword(in English) Infection simulation / SEIARD Model / School closure / Multi Agent
Paper # CAS2022-37,MSS2022-20
Date of Issue 2022-11-10 (CAS, MSS)

Conference Information
Committee CAS / MSS / IPSJ-AL
Conference Date 2022/11/17(2days)
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Place (in English)
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Topics (in English)
Chair Yoshinobu Maeda(Niigata Univ.) / Atsuo Ozaki(Osaka Inst. of Tech.) / 全 眞嬉(東北大学)
Vice Chair Yasutoshi Aibara(OmniVision) / Shingo Yamaguchi(Yamaguchi Univ.)
Secretary Yasutoshi Aibara(NIT, Toyama college) / Shingo Yamaguchi(Renesas Electronics) / (Hokkaido Univ.)
Assistant Takahide Sato(Univ. of Yamanashi) / Motoi Yamaguchi(TECHNOPRO) / Shinji Shimoda(Sony Semiconductor Solutions) / Shunsuke Koshita(Hachinohe Inst. of Tech.) / Masato Shirai(Shimane Univ.)

Paper Information
Registration To Technical Committee on Circuits and Systems / Technical Committee on Mathematical Systems Science and its Applications / Special Interest Group on Algorithms
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Study of duration of school closure using the COVID-19 infection simulation by MAS
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Infection simulation
Keyword(2) SEIARD Model
Keyword(3) School closure
Keyword(4) Multi Agent
1st Author's Name Ken Nakajima
1st Author's Affiliation National Institute of Technology Toyama College(NITT)
2nd Author's Name Ikumi Anda
2nd Author's Affiliation National Institute of Technology Toyama College(NITT)
3rd Author's Name Nao Ito
3rd Author's Affiliation National Institute of Technology Toyama College(NITT)
Date 2022-11-17
Paper # CAS2022-37,MSS2022-20
Volume (vol) vol.122
Number (no) CAS-253,MSS-254
Page pp.pp.2-6(CAS), pp.2-6(MSS),
#Pages 5
Date of Issue 2022-11-10 (CAS, MSS)