Presentation 2022-03-08
Applying a medium-term prediction method for the number of heat stroke victims to medium-sized local governments
Tetsuya Nakai, Sachio Saiki, Masahide Nakamura,
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Abstract(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Abstract(in English) In our previous research, we proposed a prediction method of the number of heat stroke victims for the next week based on the weekly weather forecast. In this paper, we evaluate the possibility of using this method in Sanda City, Hyogo Prefecture, a medium-sized local government. We developed a prediction model for Sanda City using the daily number of heat stroke victims in Sanda City and historical weather data. Using the prediction model, we were able to predict the occurrence of heat stroke in 71.3% of the cases. In addition, we developed a web application, HSP (HeatStroke-Prediction), which automatically displays the prediction results. As a result of using HSP at the Kobe City Fire Department, they gave us feedback that HSP can be used to publicize heat stroke prevention measures based on numerical evidence.
Keyword(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Keyword(in English) heat stroke / ambulance / smartcity / demand prediction / machine learning
Paper # SS2021-68
Date of Issue 2022-02-28 (SS)

Conference Information
Committee SS
Conference Date 2022/3/7(2days)
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Place (in English) Online
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Topics (in English) Software Science etc.
Chair Takashi Kobayashi(Tokyo Inst. of Tech.)
Vice Chair Kozo Okano(Shinshu Univ.)
Secretary Kozo Okano(Hiroshima City Univ.)
Assistant Shinpei Ogata(Shinshu Univ.)

Paper Information
Registration To Technical Committee on Software Science
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Applying a medium-term prediction method for the number of heat stroke victims to medium-sized local governments
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) heat stroke
Keyword(2) ambulance
Keyword(3) smartcity
Keyword(4) demand prediction
Keyword(5) machine learning
1st Author's Name Tetsuya Nakai
1st Author's Affiliation Kobe University(Kobe Univ.)
2nd Author's Name Sachio Saiki
2nd Author's Affiliation Kochi University of Technology(Kochi tech.)
3rd Author's Name Masahide Nakamura
3rd Author's Affiliation Kobe University(Kobe Univ.)
Date 2022-03-08
Paper # SS2021-68
Volume (vol) vol.121
Number (no) SS-416
Page pp.pp.157-162(SS),
#Pages 6
Date of Issue 2022-02-28 (SS)