Presentation 2020-07-16
Asymptotic Evaluation of $alpha$-divergence between VB Posterior Predictive Distribution and Bayesian Predictive Distribution
Kazuki Yamada, Shota Saito, Toshiyasu Matsushima,
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Abstract(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Abstract(in English) In this paper, we consider the problem of determining probability distribution of $X_{n+1}$ given ${X_i }_{i=1}^{n}$ following i.i.d. distribution. We assume log loss on probability distribution of $X_{n+1}$ and derive Bayesian predictive distribution under Bayes criteria. When parametric model contains latent variables, it is difficult to obtain posterior distribution appearing in Bayesian predictive distribution analytically. In this situation, we constitute a new predictive distribution substituting posterior distribution to VB posterior derived by variational bayes. We need to verify how close new predictive distribution to Bayesian predictive distribution. Previous research shows that total variation between Bayesian predictive distribution and VB posterior predictive distribution converges to 0 in probability under some assumptions. We show that $alpha$-divergence between two predictive distributions also converges to 0 in probability. Also, previous research is naturally derived by our result by using Pinsker's inequality.
Keyword(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Keyword(in English) Asymptotic Analysis / $alpha$ divergence / Bayesian Predictive Distribution / Variational Bayes
Paper # IT2020-14
Date of Issue 2020-07-09 (IT)

Conference Information
Committee IT
Conference Date 2020/7/16(1days)
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Place (in English) Online
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Topics (in English) Freshman session, General
Chair Tadashi Wadayama(Nagoya Inst. of Tech.)
Vice Chair Tetsuya Kojima(Tokyo Kosen)
Secretary Tetsuya Kojima(Yamaguchi Univ.)
Assistant Takahiro Ohta(Senshu Univ.)

Paper Information
Registration To Technical Committee on Information Theory
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Asymptotic Evaluation of $alpha$-divergence between VB Posterior Predictive Distribution and Bayesian Predictive Distribution
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Asymptotic Analysis
Keyword(2) $alpha$ divergence
Keyword(3) Bayesian Predictive Distribution
Keyword(4) Variational Bayes
1st Author's Name Kazuki Yamada
1st Author's Affiliation Waseda University(Waseda Univ.)
2nd Author's Name Shota Saito
2nd Author's Affiliation Waseda University(Waseda Univ.)
3rd Author's Name Toshiyasu Matsushima
3rd Author's Affiliation Waseda University(Waseda Univ.)
Date 2020-07-16
Paper # IT2020-14
Volume (vol) vol.120
Number (no) IT-105
Page pp.pp.19-23(IT),
#Pages 5
Date of Issue 2020-07-09 (IT)