| Presentation | 2019-11-14 [Poster Presentation] Time Series Forecasting Number of Dengue Patients using Simple Seasonal Exponential Smoothing Method Wasana Phiwkhom, Ekkarat Boonchieng, |
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| PDF Download Page |  PDF download Page Link |
| Abstract(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Abstract(in English) | Dengue fever is a disease in Asia and Africa. Forecasting of dengue disease is useful for preparing the area for surveillance, prevention and control of the disease. We collected data from 1853 dengue patients from 2009 to 2019 in Saraphi Hospital, Chiang Mai Province, Thailand. The data were analyzed for prediction by Time Series Forecasting using Simple Seasonal Exponential Smoothing Method (SSES). We found that Root Mean Square Error of the model is 0.20 persons per month. |
| Keyword(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Keyword(in English) | Dengue fever / Time series forecasting / Simple Seasonal Exponential Smoothing Method |
| Paper # | IA2019-37 |
| Date of Issue | 2019-11-07 (IA) |
| Conference Information | |
| Committee | IA |
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| Conference Date | 2019/11/14(2days) |
| Place (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Place (in English) | Kwansei Gakuin University, Tokyo Marunouchi Campus (Sapia Tower) |
| Topics (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Topics (in English) | IA2019 - Workshop on Internet Architecture and Applications 2019 |
| Chair | Hiroyuki Osaki(Kwansei Gakuin Univ.) |
| Vice Chair | Rei Atarashi(IIJ) / Toru Kondo(Hiroshima Univ.) / Hiroshi Yamamoto(Ritsumeikan Univ.) |
| Secretary | Rei Atarashi(Kwansei Gakuin Univ.) / Toru Kondo(KDDI Research) / Hiroshi Yamamoto(NEC) |
| Assistant | Kenji Ohira(Osaka Univ.) / Daiki Nobayashi(Kyushu Inst. of Tech.) / Ryohei Banno(Tokyo Inst. of Tech.) |
| Paper Information | |
| Registration To | Technical Committee on Internet Architecture |
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| Language | ENG |
| Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Sub Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
| Title (in English) | [Poster Presentation] Time Series Forecasting Number of Dengue Patients using Simple Seasonal Exponential Smoothing Method |
| Sub Title (in English) | |
| Keyword(1) | Dengue fever |
| Keyword(2) | Time series forecasting |
| Keyword(3) | Simple Seasonal Exponential Smoothing Method |
| 1st Author's Name | Wasana Phiwkhom |
| 1st Author's Affiliation | *(*) |
| 2nd Author's Name | Ekkarat Boonchieng |
| 2nd Author's Affiliation | *(*) |
| Date | 2019-11-14 |
| Paper # | IA2019-37 |
| Volume (vol) | vol.119 |
| Number (no) | IA-291 |
| Page | pp.pp.63-64(IA), |
| #Pages | 2 |
| Date of Issue | 2019-11-07 (IA) |