Presentation | 2019-08-02 Traffic Prediction by Extracting Users' Access Patterns Yuka Komai, Tatsuaki Kimura, Masahiro Kobayashi, Shigeaki Harada, |
---|---|
PDF Download Page | PDF download Page Link |
Abstract(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
Abstract(in English) | Due to the emergence of diverse network services and devices, traffic patterns in recent networks become highly complicated. This recent trend raises a new need for network operators to perform traffic prediction based on users’ network access patterns. However, predicting traffic of each user or service requires huge computing resources and may cause degradation of prediction accuracy. In this paper, we propose a novel traffic prediction method based on users’ access patterns. Our method automatically extracts hidden users’ access patterns from traffic data by using NTF (Non-negative Tensor Factorization), and predicts future traffic for each access pattern on the basis of a SARIMA (Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model. We evaluate our method using real DNS (Domain Name System) query logs captured at a campus network. |
Keyword(in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
Keyword(in English) | Traffic Prediction / Users’ Access Patterns / NTF / SARIMA Model |
Paper # | IN2019-22 |
Date of Issue | 2019-07-25 (IN) |
Conference Information | |
Committee | CCS / IN |
---|---|
Conference Date | 2019/8/1(2days) |
Place (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
Place (in English) | KIKI SHIRETOKO NATURAL RESORT |
Topics (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
Topics (in English) | |
Chair | Makoto Naruse(NICT) / Takuji Kishida(NTT-AT) |
Vice Chair | Shigeki Shiokawa(Kanagawa Inst. of Tech.) / Tetsuya Asai(Hokkaido Univ.) / Kenji Ishida(Hiroshima City Univ.) |
Secretary | Shigeki Shiokawa(Hiroshima City Univ.) / Tetsuya Asai(Kanagawa Inst. of Tech.) / Kenji Ishida(NTT Communications) |
Assistant | Hidehiro Nakano(Tokyo City Univ.) / Kazuki Nakada(Tsukuba Univ. of Tech.) / Hiroyasu Ando(Tsukuba Univ.) / Takashi Matsubara(Kobe Univ.) |
Paper Information | |
Registration To | Technical Committee on Complex Communication Sciences / Technical Committee on Information Networks |
---|---|
Language | JPN |
Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
Sub Title (in Japanese) | (See Japanese page) |
Title (in English) | Traffic Prediction by Extracting Users' Access Patterns |
Sub Title (in English) | |
Keyword(1) | Traffic Prediction |
Keyword(2) | Users’ Access Patterns |
Keyword(3) | NTF |
Keyword(4) | SARIMA Model |
1st Author's Name | Yuka Komai |
1st Author's Affiliation | NTT Corporation(NTT) |
2nd Author's Name | Tatsuaki Kimura |
2nd Author's Affiliation | Osaka University(Osaka Univ.) |
3rd Author's Name | Masahiro Kobayashi |
3rd Author's Affiliation | NTT Corporation(NTT) |
4th Author's Name | Shigeaki Harada |
4th Author's Affiliation | NTT Corporation(NTT) |
Date | 2019-08-02 |
Paper # | IN2019-22 |
Volume (vol) | vol.119 |
Number (no) | IN-158 |
Page | pp.pp.43-46(IN), |
#Pages | 4 |
Date of Issue | 2019-07-25 (IN) |