Presentation 2019-06-17
Optimal Estimating the Number of Change Points for Sources with Piecewise Constant parameters under Bayesian Criterion
Kairi Suzuki, Akira Kamatsuka, Toshiyasu Matsushima,
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Abstract(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Abstract(in English) The problem of estimating the number of the change points is an important problem in various real problems.There have been studies on this problem, in which the number of change points is estimated by maximizing the likelihood[4] and in which the prior distribution is assumed, using MAP estimation[6]. In [4], the estimated number of change points is not theoretically guaranteed.In [6], it takes the computational complexity in the order of $O¥left(2^{n-1}¥right)$ to estimate.In this study, we formulate an estimation problem of the number of change points in the statistical decision theory. Then we propose an optimal and efficient estimating algorithm of the number of change points under bayesian criterion. The algorithm take the computational complexity in the order of $O¥left(n^{3}¥right)$ under some assumptions.
Keyword(in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Keyword(in English) Change points detection / Estimating the number of change points / Sources with piecewise constant parameters / Statistical Decision Theory / Bayes risk / Bayes rule
Paper # IBISML2019-6
Date of Issue 2019-06-10 (IBISML)

Conference Information
Committee NC / IBISML / IPSJ-MPS / IPSJ-BIO
Conference Date 2019/6/17(3days)
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Place (in English) Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Topics (in English) Neurocomputing, Machine Learning Approach to Biodata Mining, and General
Chair Hayaru Shouno(UEC) / Hisashi Kashima(Kyoto Univ.) / Masakazu Sekijima(Tokyo Tech) / Hiroyuki Kurata(Kyutech)
Vice Chair Kazuyuki Samejima(Tamagawa Univ) / Masashi Sugiyama(Univ. of Tokyo) / Koji Tsuda(Univ. of Tokyo)
Secretary Kazuyuki Samejima(NAIST) / Masashi Sugiyama(NTT) / Koji Tsuda(Nagoya Inst. of Tech.) / (AIST) / (Nagoya Univ.)
Assistant Takashi Shinozaki(NICT) / Ken Takiyama(TUAT) / Tomoharu Iwata(NTT) / Shigeyuki Oba(Kyoto Univ.)

Paper Information
Registration To Technical Committee on Neurocomputing / Technical Committee on Infomation-Based Induction Sciences and Machine Learning / IPSJ Special Interest Group on Mathematical Modeling and Problem Solving / IPSJ Special Interest Group on Bioinformatics and Genomics
Language JPN
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page)
Title (in English) Optimal Estimating the Number of Change Points for Sources with Piecewise Constant parameters under Bayesian Criterion
Sub Title (in English)
Keyword(1) Change points detection
Keyword(2) Estimating the number of change points
Keyword(3) Sources with piecewise constant parameters
Keyword(4) Statistical Decision Theory
Keyword(5) Bayes risk
Keyword(6) Bayes rule
1st Author's Name Kairi Suzuki
1st Author's Affiliation Waseda University(Waseda Univ.)
2nd Author's Name Akira Kamatsuka
2nd Author's Affiliation Waseda University(Waseda Univ.)
3rd Author's Name Toshiyasu Matsushima
3rd Author's Affiliation Waseda University(Waseda Univ.)
Date 2019-06-17
Paper # IBISML2019-6
Volume (vol) vol.119
Number (no) IBISML-89
Page pp.pp.35-41(IBISML),
#Pages 7
Date of Issue 2019-06-10 (IBISML)