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Paper Abstract and Keywords
Presentation 2014-01-24 14:30
On the Calculation Methods of the Propensity Index for a Pair of Aircraft
Sakae Nagaoka, Mark Brown (ENRI) SANE2013-128
Abstract (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) Future air traffic management (ATM) will be based on trajectory information. Indices associated with airspace safety and complexity will be required for airspace design and ATM-related studies. Propensity is a safety index proposed by EUROCONTROL. This index uses the normal distribution to model probability density relating to position uncertainty, and calculates the integral of a function which is product of two such density functions to assess overlap likelihood of each aircraft pair. To enable rapid computation, EUROCONTROL has published an algorithm whereby the integral calculation is simplified by an algebraic method. While investigating the applicability of Propensity to our own studies, a number of questions arose which prompted our independent review of the EUROCONTROL algorithm. This paper briefly describes the Propensity index and its method of calculation, and some of our review results.
Keyword (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) Air traffic management / complexity / safety index / Propensity / / / /  
Reference Info. IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 113, no. 387, SANE2013-128, pp. 91-96, Jan. 2014.
Paper # SANE2013-128 
Date of Issue 2014-01-16 (SANE) 
ISSN Print edition: ISSN 0913-5685    Online edition: ISSN 2432-6380
Copyright
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reproduction
All rights are reserved and no part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Notwithstanding, instructors are permitted to photocopy isolated articles for noncommercial classroom use without fee. (License No.: 10GA0019/12GB0052/13GB0056/17GB0034/18GB0034)
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Conference Information
Committee SANE  
Conference Date 2014-01-23 - 2014-01-24 
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Place (in English) Nagasaki Prefectural Art Museum 
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Topics (in English) Positioning, navigation and general 
Paper Information
Registration To SANE 
Conference Code 2014-01-SANE 
Language Japanese 
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Title (in English) On the Calculation Methods of the Propensity Index for a Pair of Aircraft 
Sub Title (in English)  
Keyword(1) Air traffic management  
Keyword(2) complexity  
Keyword(3) safety index  
Keyword(4) Propensity  
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1st Author's Name Sakae Nagaoka  
1st Author's Affiliation Electronic Navigation Research Institute (ENRI)
2nd Author's Name Mark Brown  
2nd Author's Affiliation Electronic Navigation Research Institute (ENRI)
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Speaker Author-1 
Date Time 2014-01-24 14:30:00 
Presentation Time 25 minutes 
Registration for SANE 
Paper # SANE2013-128 
Volume (vol) vol.113 
Number (no) no.387 
Page pp.91-96 
#Pages
Date of Issue 2014-01-16 (SANE) 


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