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Paper Abstract and Keywords
Presentation 2013-03-07 13:40
Development of a Robust Choice Model for Demand Forecasting under Fluctuant Situations
Marina Fujita, Ken Kawamoto, Toshiko Aizono, Koji Ara (Hitachi) LOIS2012-79
Abstract (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) In this research, the robust demand forecasting method in retailers under the situations which new products are introduced frequently is proposed. The proposed demand forecasting method was developed by a product choice forecasting method. By applying decision trees developed by random forest method into logit models, a product choice forecasting method which accepts multiple choice criteria of human was developed. POS (point of sale) data in a restaurant was analyzed for verification of the demand forecasting accuracy. At the result, absolute errors of demand forecasting by the proposed method were significantly less than those of previous method. It is confirmed that the proposed method works efficiency.
Keyword (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) demand forecasting / retailer / discrete choice model / logit model / / / /  
Reference Info. IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 112, no. 466, LOIS2012-79, pp. 59-64, March 2013.
Paper # LOIS2012-79 
Date of Issue 2013-02-28 (LOIS) 
ISSN Print edition: ISSN 0913-5685  Online edition: ISSN 2432-6380
All rights are reserved and no part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Notwithstanding, instructors are permitted to photocopy isolated articles for noncommercial classroom use without fee. (License No.: 10GA0019/12GB0052/13GB0056/17GB0034/18GB0034)
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Conference Information
Committee LOIS  
Conference Date 2013-03-07 - 2013-03-08 
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Place (in English)  
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Paper Information
Registration To LOIS 
Conference Code 2013-03-LOIS 
Language Japanese 
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Title (in English) Development of a Robust Choice Model for Demand Forecasting under Fluctuant Situations 
Sub Title (in English)  
Keyword(1) demand forecasting  
Keyword(2) retailer  
Keyword(3) discrete choice model  
Keyword(4) logit model  
1st Author's Name Marina Fujita  
1st Author's Affiliation Hitachi (Hitachi)
2nd Author's Name Ken Kawamoto  
2nd Author's Affiliation Hitachi (Hitachi)
3rd Author's Name Toshiko Aizono  
3rd Author's Affiliation Hitachi (Hitachi)
4th Author's Name Koji Ara  
4th Author's Affiliation Hitachi (Hitachi)
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Date Time 2013-03-07 13:40:00 
Presentation Time 20 
Registration for LOIS 
Paper # IEICE-LOIS2012-79 
Volume (vol) IEICE-112 
Number (no) no.466 
Page pp.59-64 
#Pages IEICE-6 
Date of Issue IEICE-LOIS-2013-02-28 

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