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Paper Abstract and Keywords
Presentation 2009-03-03 08:20
A Telecommunication Network Planning Method Based on Probabilistic Risk Analysis
Nagao Ogino, Hajime Nakamura (KDDI Labs.) NS2008-154
Abstract (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) Telecommunications networks have become an important social infrastructure, and their robustness is considered to be a matter of social significance. In the event of a natural disaster or a popular social event, the telecommunications network can experience extraordinarily high traffic loads, which induce major multiple failures over the whole network at a predictable probability. This paper proposes a telecommunications network planning method based on probabilistic risk analysis. In this method, risk criterion reflecting the degree of risk due to extraordinary traffic loads is predefined and calculated using probabilistic risk analysis. Following this, network planning is executed to minimize the calculated risk criterion. The planning procedure is explained in detail using a practical mobile telephone network in terms of the extraordinary traffic flows resulting from earthquakes. As an application example of the proposed method, capacity dimensioning for the local exchange systems is executed to reduce the risk criterion most effectively. Moreover, the optimum traffic rerouting policy that minimizes the calculated risk criterion can be ascertained.
Keyword (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) Network planning / Planning for robustness / Probabilistic risk analysis / Extraordinary traffic / Risk criterion / / /  
Reference Info. IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 108, no. 457, NS2008-154, pp. 63-68, March 2009.
Paper # NS2008-154 
Date of Issue 2009-02-24 (NS) 
ISSN Print edition: ISSN 0913-5685    Online edition: ISSN 2432-6380
Copyright
and
reproduction
All rights are reserved and no part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Notwithstanding, instructors are permitted to photocopy isolated articles for noncommercial classroom use without fee. (License No.: 10GA0019/12GB0052/13GB0056/17GB0034/18GB0034)
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Conference Information
Committee IN NS  
Conference Date 2009-03-03 - 2009-03-04 
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Place (in English) Okinawa-Zanpamisaki Royal Hotel 
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Topics (in English) General issues 
Paper Information
Registration To NS 
Conference Code 2009-03-IN-NS 
Language Japanese 
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Title (in English) A Telecommunication Network Planning Method Based on Probabilistic Risk Analysis 
Sub Title (in English)  
Keyword(1) Network planning  
Keyword(2) Planning for robustness  
Keyword(3) Probabilistic risk analysis  
Keyword(4) Extraordinary traffic  
Keyword(5) Risk criterion  
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1st Author's Name Nagao Ogino  
1st Author's Affiliation KDDI R&D Laboratories Inc. (KDDI Labs.)
2nd Author's Name Hajime Nakamura  
2nd Author's Affiliation KDDI R&D Laboratories Inc. (KDDI Labs.)
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Speaker Author-1 
Date Time 2009-03-03 08:20:00 
Presentation Time 20 minutes 
Registration for NS 
Paper # NS2008-154 
Volume (vol) vol.108 
Number (no) no.457 
Page pp.63-68 
#Pages
Date of Issue 2009-02-24 (NS) 


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