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Paper Abstract and Keywords
Presentation 2004-07-21 09:40
An E-mail Virus Diffusion Model
Daisuke Satoh, Masato Uchida, Keisuke Ishibashi (NTT), Makoto Kobayashi (NSP)
Abstract (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) We propose a model of computer viruses that infect other computers by using e-mail. We assume that infection-ratio is constant. We obtain an discrete equation by modeling the computer viruses that infect other computers by using e-mail. The discrete equation is reduced to the Riccati equation under a limit where the time interval equals 0. We analyze the effect of the initial number of infected computers to the total number of computers infected in the infinitely long duration by using a discrete equation that has an exact solution. We also analyze the condition that the infected curve becomes the logistic curve. We show that this model describes actual data of computer viruses. Akaike's information criteria (AIC) shows that the model is superior to a linear model. Finally, we propose another model whose infect ratio is varying. We propose the equation of the model is a discrete equation that has an exact solution.
Keyword (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
(in English) Computer virus / Worm propagation / E-mail / Riccati equation / Discrete equation / Exact solution / /  
Reference Info. IEICE Tech. Rep., vol. 104, no. 200, ISEC2004-42, pp. 7-12, July 2004.
Paper # ISEC2004-42 
Date of Issue 2004-07-14 (ISEC) 
ISSN Print edition: ISSN 0913-5685
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Conference Information
Committee ISEC IPSJ-CSEC  
Conference Date 2004-07-20 - 2004-07-21 
Place (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Place (in English) Tokushima Univ. 
Topics (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Topics (in English)  
Paper Information
Registration To ISEC 
Conference Code 2004-07-ISEC-JPSCSEC 
Language Japanese 
Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Sub Title (in Japanese) (See Japanese page) 
Title (in English) An E-mail Virus Diffusion Model 
Sub Title (in English)  
Keyword(1) Computer virus  
Keyword(2) Worm propagation  
Keyword(3) E-mail  
Keyword(4) Riccati equation  
Keyword(5) Discrete equation  
Keyword(6) Exact solution  
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Keyword(8)  
1st Author's Name Daisuke Satoh  
1st Author's Affiliation Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Company (NTT)
2nd Author's Name Masato Uchida  
2nd Author's Affiliation Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Company (NTT)
3rd Author's Name Keisuke Ishibashi  
3rd Author's Affiliation Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Company (NTT)
4th Author's Name Makoto Kobayashi  
4th Author's Affiliation Nihon Software Products (NSP)
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Speaker Author-1 
Date Time 2004-07-21 09:40:00 
Presentation Time 25 minutes 
Registration for ISEC 
Paper # ISEC2004-42 
Volume (vol) vol.104 
Number (no) no.200 
Page pp.7-12 
#Pages
Date of Issue 2004-07-14 (ISEC) 


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